3d movie fad is over in US (measured by 2012 3D box office dropping another 20% from 2011)
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-07-26; known on 2013-04-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2013-03-22.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-07-26
- RandomThinker said “It already dropped 20% from 2010 to 2011 (2.1b to 1.8b). Question is judged correct if it drops another 20%, i.e. below $1.45b.” on 2012-07-26
- RandomThinker said “Source: http://www.studiobriefing.net/2012/03/3d-movies-decline-at-box-office/” on 2012-07-26
- hedges estimated 80% on 2013-03-22
- RandomThinker said “http://movies.yahoo.com/news/mpaa-report-global-box-office-breaks-records-china-202306528.html "One place where the movie business was sluggish was 3D … the number of 3D releases fell from 45 to 36 in 2012. "” on 2013-03-22
- RandomThinker said ““3D movies contributing $1.8 billion in ticket sales. That was roughly in line with last year, but a drop from a high of $2.2 billion in 2010.”” on 2013-03-22
- RandomThinker said “Doesn’t look good for this prediction” on 2013-03-22
- RandomThinker said “I suck at movie predictions!” on 2013-03-22
- RandomThinker judged this prediction wrong on 2013-03-22.
- RandomThinker said “Qualitatively it’s right, but they managed to massage the numbers so it’s flat.” on 2013-03-22