In the 2012 election, Obama will pick up at least one state he didn't win in 2008.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-08-01; known on 2012-11-10; judged wrong by Sarokrae on 2012-11-07.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 30% on 2012-08-01
• RandomThinker estimated 25% on 2012-08-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2012-08-02
• army1987 estimated 60% on 2012-08-05
• Porejide estimated 40% on 2012-08-05
• torekp estimated 20% on 2012-08-12
• Qiaochu estimated 6% and said “6.3% on FiveThirtyEight. ” on 2012-10-14
• Sarokrae estimated 10% on 2012-11-05
• Sarokrae said “http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-20009195 As far as I can tell, Obama didn’t pick up any new states (and Florida voted Democrat last time); Romney got North Carolina and Indiana.” on 2012-11-07
• Sarokrae   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-11-07.