By the end of 2015, Windows Phone 8 (including successors based on it) will not have as much as 10% of market share, measured as either number of active phones or phones+tablets.

Created by scav on 2012-08-02; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-31.

• scav estimated 70% on 2012-08-02
• RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “I think Win will do well; Android is the one that is overrated.” on 2012-08-02
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “WP only has 2.2% marketshare.http://www.zdnet.com/article/despite-windows-10-windows-phone-is-doomed-idc/” on 2015-12-29
• kuudes estimated 99% on 2015-12-31
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction right on 2015-12-31.