Health care spending in the US will exceed 19% of GDP sometime before 2015.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-08-06; known on 2015-01-02; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2015-11-06.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2012-08-06
• Jayson Virissimo changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” and made the prediction on 2012-08-06
• RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “17.9% now, projected to be around 19% in 2015, but I think pundits/experts are over-estimating. Healthcare spending slowing down not speeding up over next few years” on 2012-08-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2012-08-21
• RandomThinker said “healthcare costs going down http://www.businessinsider.com/peter-orszag-chart-shows-medicare-costs-slowing-2012-12” on 2013-01-01
• RandomThinker said “Too bad I didn’t make a prediction of it – healthcare spending going down. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/04/upshot/per-capita-medicare-spending-is-actually-falling.html” on 2014-09-03
• RandomThinker said “17.4% right now http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/04/us/pace-of-health-care-cost-increases-falls-to-a-54-year-low.html” on 2014-12-04
• RandomThinker said “Now they’re saying over 19% GDP in 2023:http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/sep/3/health-care-spending-expected-spike-coming-years/” on 2015-01-21
• RandomThinker said “This says 17.8% last year https://www.pbahealth.com/news/preliminary-data-shows-rise-in-health-care-spending-in-2014/” on 2015-03-07
• RandomThinker said “Healthcare costs going down, now fully in the news.http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/06/opinion/great-news-were-not-doomed-to-soaring-health-care-costs.html” on 2015-11-06
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-11-06.