Assuming Romney doesn't win, Paul Ryan will be one of the top 3 candidates in Republican primary for president in 2016

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-12; known on 2016-03-01; judged wrong by Temeraire on 2016-02-12.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-08-12
• RandomThinker said “Doesn’t always happen – Palin didn’t, Kemp didn’t, Quayle didn’t (last 3). Measured by top 3 finish in Iowa primary. ” on 2012-08-12
• RobertLumley said “Is this the top three Republican candidates for president?” on 2012-08-16
• RandomThinker said “@robert either party but yes republican most likely” on 2012-08-16
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “Assuming Romney doesn't win, Paul Ryan will be one of the top 3 candidates for president in 2016” on 2012-08-16
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2012-08-16
• RobertLumley said “Well my point is that it gets difficult if you say the top three from any party. Because the democrats would knock out at least one, if not two of those slots. Top three Republicans would be less restrictive.” on 2012-08-17
• RobertLumley said “(Assuming he doesn’t change parties… which I think is a pretty safe assumption.)” on 2012-08-17
• RandomThinker said “@Robert Makes sense. After thinking about it, I changed the prediction to add “Republican” due to your comment” on 2012-08-17
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Paul Ryan isn’t even running, and with the field with candidates like Jeb!, Trump, Cruz, Rubio, Ryan doesn’t stand a chance.” on 2016-01-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-01-04
• Raahul_Kumar said “Trump, Rubio and Cruz are in the top 3. No way.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_Republican_Party_2016_presidential_primaries” on 2016-02-11
• Temeraire   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-12.