There'll be a major virus/spyware story in the next 10 years that's primarily focused on theft of commercial information (financial, passwords, blackmail)
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-14; known on 2022-12-31; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-21.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-08-14
- RandomThinker said “I would classify it as none so far, but virus writers are getting more sophisticated and mercenary” on 2012-08-14
- Kaj_Sotala estimated 95% on 2012-08-22
- JoshuaZ said “RandomThinker, how would Flame http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flame_ not count? ” on 2012-08-22
- RandomThinker said “@joshua interesting. I was thinking flame was more military / targeted against Iran. I was intending to cover more commercial espionage. ” on 2012-08-22
- RandomThinker changed their prediction from “There'll be a major virus/spyware story in the next 10 years that's primarily focused on theft of information (financial, passwords, blackmail)” on 2012-08-22
- RandomThinker said “@joshua added the word “commercial” to the prediction” on 2012-08-22
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2012-08-23
- kilobug estimated 80% on 2012-08-23
- Michael Dickens estimated 85% on 2014-01-01
- themusicgod1 said “ransomware is this ” on 2016-05-21
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction right on 2016-05-21.