“By March 25, 2033, there will be successful whole brain emulation.”

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-03-25; known on 2033-03-25

• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-03-25
• JoshuaZ said “$25 bet with Simcurious http://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/304qxj/mega_thread_lets_list_off_all_the_jobs_we_think/cpqdfkm” on 2015-03-25
• Unknowns estimated 2% on 2015-03-25
• timujin estimated 10% on 2015-03-26
• ProfessorPangloss estimated 5% on 2015-03-27
• EloiseRosen estimated 25% on 2015-03-27
• Mati estimated 3% on 2015-03-28
• Serge estimated 3% and said “Would require a miracle.” on 2015-03-30
• btrettel estimated 1% on 2015-09-24
• tstelzig estimated 7% and said “Assuming human brains.” on 2015-09-30
• JoshuaZ said “That was the assumption. ” on 2015-09-30
• Medea estimated 10% on 2015-10-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 90% on 2016-07-09
• timujin estimated 25% and said “Recent advancements make me reconsider this.” on 2017-03-29