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Sam Altman: Uber, Palantir, Airbnb, Dropbox, Pinterest, and SpaceX to be collectively worth over $200b by Jan 1, 2020

Created by RandomThinker on 2015-03-25; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.

  • RandomThinker estimated 40% on 2015-03-25
  • RandomThinker said “http://blog.samaltman.com/bubble-talkon 2015-03-25
  • RandomThinker said “Basically requires 1 of them to break through plus the market in general be good then. Not impossible. on 2015-03-25
  • RandomThinker said “Palantir most likely to be standing but they’re not worth $200b even in a roaring market. Second Dropbox.on 2015-03-25
  • JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-03-26
  • themusicgod1 estimated 45% on 2016-07-09
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% and said “Thinking more about it…spacex and uber are wildcards more than I initially thought.on 2016-07-09
  • elephantower estimated 40% on 2016-07-09
  • pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-12-08
  • Bruno Parga said “Uber: 50.7 https://cutt.ly/OrybrLS – Palantir 20 (back in 2015; /Rrybyj4) – Airbnb 35 (/Srynk9x) – Dropbox 7.4 (Xrynlj2) – Pinterest 10.4 (0rynl0h) – SpaceX 33.3 (HrynzHM) – TOTAL 156.8, the prediction is wrong.on 2020-01-02
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.