Akin will quit before 1st September 2012

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-21; known on 2012-09-01; judged wrong by tedks on 2012-09-03.

• RandomThinker estimated 75% on 2012-08-21
• RandomThinker said “No one survives this kind of press onslaught http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/21/us/politics/republicans-decry-todd-akins-rape-remarks.html?hp” on 2012-08-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “He has to withdraw by 5 PM today otherwise things get more complicated. He still isn’t showing much in the way of backing down. ” on 2012-08-21
• RandomThinker said “@joshuaZ wasn’t aware of deadline… makes this much closer and more interesting” on 2012-08-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% and said “Updating on not meeting deadline. ” on 2012-08-21
• tedks estimated 50% on 2012-08-22
• tedks said “Akin has not withdrawn as of today, so I’m marking this prediction as wrong.” on 2012-09-03
• tedks   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-03.
• RandomThinker said “Yea kinda surprised he weathered the media storm” on 2012-09-03