Akin to get at least 40% of the vote in the Missouri election (conditional on him not dropping out).

Created by JoshuaZ on 2012-08-23; known on 2012-11-10; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2012-08-23
• JoshuaZ said “Related prediction: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/7880” on 2012-08-23
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-08-24
• RandomThinker said “Akin is at 41% right now. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/states/missouri” on 2012-11-07
• RandomThinker said “Very close. Akin ends up at 39.2% according to Google results for MO. http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results” on 2012-11-08
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-11-08.