Lance Armstrong will lose a large portion of his commercial sponsors by end of 2014

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-25; known on 2014-12-31; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-10-22.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-08-25
• RandomThinker said “They’re claiming to stick with him. $43m in 2011. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/sports/cycling/lance-armstrong-retains-support-of-nike-and-other-companies.html?hp” on 2012-08-25
• GalHochberg estimated 70% on 2012-08-25
• RandomThinker said “This is going to be hard to verify but Nike just dumped him. http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/local/austin/armstrong-steps-down-as-livestrong-chairman” on 2012-10-17
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “Lance Armstrong will lose 50% of his commercial sponsors by end of 2014” on 2012-10-22
• RandomThinker said “USAtoday says no less than 7 major sponsors. Actual numbers are too hard to find, so I changed this to a qualitative prediction http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/cycling/2012/10/17/lance-armstrong-sponsors-doping-case/1640467/” on 2012-10-22
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-10-22.
• RandomThinker said “I shouldn’t be overly precise in the prediction or it’s too hard to judge. I thought by being so I made it easier to judge lol.” on 2012-10-22