The US presidential debates of 2016 will feature a three-way debate between a Democrat, a Republican, and a Libertarian Party candidate.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-09-02; known on 2016-11-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-02.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 75% on 2012-09-02
• NathanMcKnight on 2012-09-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2012-09-03
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2012-09-03
• Nic_Smith estimated 3% on 2012-09-05
• Pablo estimated 15% on 2012-09-27
• RandomThinker estimated 10% and said “I assume you mean a capital L Libertarian and Ron Paul doesn’t count. It’s basically the odds of Ron Paul quitting the republican party.” on 2012-09-28
• NathanMcKnight said “Yes, capital-L.” on 2012-09-28
• faws estimated 10% on 2012-09-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2013-11-05
• themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-04-14
• Bruno Parga estimated 10% on 2016-07-24
• Bruno Parga estimated 24% on 2016-08-12
• Bruno Parga estimated 16% on 2016-09-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 12% on 2016-10-10
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-02.