No human will visit the moon from 2012-2020.

Created by lukeprog on 2012-09-04; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• lukeprog estimated 70% on 2012-09-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2012-09-04
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 85% on 2012-09-04
• bsm estimated 80% on 2012-09-04
• William-Quixote estimated 50% on 2012-09-08
• Pablo estimated 83% on 2012-09-27
• bknakker estimated 90% on 2012-10-18
• NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2012-10-19
• Ken estimated 95% on 2012-11-12
• ygert estimated 70% on 2012-12-16
• D_Malik estimated 45% on 2012-12-17
• Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-01-03
• Qiaochu estimated 50% and said “I would’ve estimated lower but then I remembered the possibility of non-governmental parties doing this (e.g. SpaceX). ” on 2013-01-03
• gimpf estimated 65% on 2013-01-03
• RandomThinker estimated 85% on 2013-01-04
• najdorf estimated 33% on 2013-02-06
• PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_proposed_missions_to_the_Moon#Manned_missions” on 2013-11-16
• PseudonymousUser said “Does orbiting the moon count, or does the human have to walk on the surface?” on 2013-11-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 93% on 2016-04-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 82% on 2016-04-15
• jesselevine said “bobpage’s question +1” on 2016-04-15
• pranomostro estimated 98% on 2018-11-10
• Baeboo estimated 98% on 2018-11-10
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2021-01-01.