I will have a credence greater than 50% that the Everett interpretation of QM is true.

Created by RoryS on 2015-03-30; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by RoryS on 2016-01-21.

• RoryS estimated 55% on 2015-03-30
• Unknowns estimated 80% and said “80% referring to 12/31/2015. Obviously you already have a credence greater than 50% right now, or you could not consistently give the 55% estimate.” on 2015-04-01
• RoryS   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-21.