“The Singularity and Machine Ethics” will have been cited more than 5 times, according to Google Scholar, by the end of 2013.

Created by lukeprog on 2012-09-04; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by lukeprog on 2014-01-01.

• lukeprog estimated 75% on 2012-09-04
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2012-09-04
• Pablo estimated 77% and said “Two citations already: http://goo.gl/1Jhbw.” on 2012-09-27
• lukeprog   judged this prediction right on 2014-01-01.