US unemployment rate below 8% by the 2012 election (last reported number before the election)
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-10; known on 2012-11-15; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-02.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-09-10
- RandomThinker said “At 8.1% now (September)” on 2012-09-10
- William-Quixote estimated 55% on 2012-09-10
- JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2012-09-11
- RandomThinker said “Looking good. 7.8% in October. Not sure if another one will come out before election. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-05/u-s-jobless-rate-unexpectedly-falls-to-7-8-114-000-jobs-added.html” on 2012-10-05
- RandomThinker said “7.9% last report. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/business/economy/us-added-171000-jobs-in-october.html?hp” on 2012-11-02
- RandomThinker judged this prediction right on 2012-11-02.