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In 2012, Obama will lose only one state that he won in 2008.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-09-10; known on 2012-12-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 40% on 2012-09-10
  • NathanMcKnight changed their prediction from “In 2012, Obama will lose only one state that he win in 2008.” on 2012-09-10
  • faws said “At most one or exactly one?” on 2012-09-10
  • NathanMcKnight said “At most.” on 2012-09-13
  • RandomThinker said “This is pretty good prediction Nathan… close, interesting and against conventional wisdom. He’s at 2 if he wins FL. He lost IN (11), and NC (15). ” on 2012-11-07
  • RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-11-07.
  • NathanMcKnight said “Thanks!” on 2012-11-13