If a large random portion of the Afghanistan population is forced to change gender presentation (the “sneetch” solution) by 2015, by 2018 the country will have passed anti-gender-discrimination laws for employment, housing, and education.

Created by puritan on 2012-09-11; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

• puritan estimated 100% on 2012-09-11
• puritan changed the deadline from “on 2012-09-11” on 2012-09-11
• William-Quixote estimated 0% and said “Only “A=True AND B=False” can hurt my calibration and A=True won’t happen. Also people can tell by voice pitch” on 2012-09-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 7% and said “anti gender discrimination laws in sharia land?” on 2016-10-10
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.