PG will not reply to Eliezer's question on HN: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4510702

Created by sdr on 2012-09-12; known on 2012-09-17; judged right by Emanuel Rylke on 2012-09-17.

• sdr estimated 65% on 2012-09-12
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 95% on 2012-09-13
• Emanuel Rylke   judged this prediction right on 2012-09-17.