There'll be significant protests, riots or attacks against American embassies in more than 5 middle eastern/muslim countries, as a result of the anti-muslim youtube video
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-13; known on 2013-03-01; judged right by jakewalker on 2012-09-15.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-09-13
- RandomThinker said “3 so far – Libya, Egypt and Yemen” on 2012-09-13
- RandomThinker changed their prediction from “There'll be large scale protests against American embassies in more than 5 middle eastern/muslim countries, as a result of the anti-muslim youtube video” on 2012-09-13
- jakewalker estimated 40% on 2012-09-13
- RandomThinker said “Add Bangladesh. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/15/world/middleeast/anti-american-protests-over-film-enter-4th-day.html?hp ” on 2012-09-14
- RandomThinker said “Possibly Indonesia and Kashmir. http://www.wandtv.com/story/19541691/indonesia-police-on-alert-for-us-embassy-protest Not sure if Kashmir is at an embassy. Going to set limit of 200+ protestors for it to be “significant”” on 2012-09-14
- jakewalker said “http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444023704577651520087673992.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTTopStories+Tunisia and Sudan?” on 2012-09-14
- RandomThinker said “@jake thx Tunisia looks significant. 3 people killed and 28 people injured.” on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker said “Looks like more than 5 is too small a number… it’s going to be easily over.” on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker said “@jake sudan is not clear involves US embassy, says German and UK. Lebanon also had a riot, but in front of a KFC. ” on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker said “Qatar, Israel and Great Britain also qualify. There’s 22 potential candidates to pick from here. http://www.woi-tv.com/story/19541691/indonesia-police-on-alert-for-us-embassy-protest” on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker judged this prediction right on 2012-09-15.
- jakewalker judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-15.
- jakewalker judged this prediction right on 2012-09-15.
- jakewalker said “@RandomThinker- whoops, misclick on the right/wrong button. So much for my grasp of world politics :)” on 2012-09-15