There'll be press report of “martial law” imposed on the internet by a major country in the next 10 years
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-15; known on 2022-10-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-10.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker said “major country is any country the size of Australia or bigger. “Martial law” is what the press calls it, but some extraordinary powers asserted by government due to riot or unrest caused by internet communication” on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker estimated 25% and said “Too high… I type in 65% by mistake because I use it so much as a matter of course” on 2012-09-15
- William-Quixote said “does china style control count if its on all the time and not in response to anything particular?” on 2012-09-15
- RandomThinker said “@william no this prediction is meant to get at some emergency situation; so doesn’t include base level measures” on 2012-09-16
- William-Quixote estimated 35% on 2012-09-16
- themusicgod1 said “http://fortune.com/2016/07/15/turkey-facebook-twitter-youtube-military-coup/ turkey should qualify for this. ” on 2016-10-10
- themusicgod1 said “they probably didn’t use the term ‘martial law’ because ‘martial law’ implies control by military…who lost the coup” on 2016-10-10
- themusicgod1 said “https://www.wired.com/2016/07/watching-attempted-turkish-coup-unfold-twitter/ actually uses both term martial law and points out internet shut off” on 2016-10-10
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction right on 2016-10-10.