So called “Fiscal Cliff” won't cause US govt credit to be downgraded by 2 or more of big 3 (S&P, Moody, Fitch)

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-15; known on 2013-03-01

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-09-15
• William-Quixote said “By fiscal cliff do you mean the planned cuts and tax normalization? why would revenue + expense- lead to a rating cut? ” on 2012-09-15
• RandomThinker said “@william people are predicting there’ll be some deadlock just like last year over the debt ceiling, which did lead to ratings cut” on 2012-09-16
• RandomThinker said “http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/business/2012/09/moodys-warns-of-us-debt-downgrade/” on 2012-09-16
• RandomThinker said “This guy says its a “foregone conclusion” http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/u-debt-downgrades-foregone-conclusion-david-stockman-125039267.html” on 2012-09-16
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “So called “Fiscal Cliff” won't cause US govt credit to be downgraded by 2 of big 3 (S&P, Moody, Fitch)” on 2012-09-16
• William-Quixote estimated 70% and said “Dodd frank makes it illegal for US banks to use rating agencies to determine the amount of capital to hold for banking book securitizations (though not starting for a while). Downgrading the gov is a way to seem to stay relevant ” on 2012-09-16
• RandomThinker said “Google says 1833 for Katrina” on 2012-11-28
• RandomThinker said “wrong pred” on 2012-11-28
• RandomThinker withdrew the prediction on 2013-01-03