By 2040, no other country will have both more active nuclear warheads and higher GDP than the United States.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-10-02; known on 2040-01-01

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% on 2012-10-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2012-10-02
• RandomThinker estimated 80% and said “US has a lot of warheads, and is least likely to give them up if their GDP starts going south.” on 2012-10-02
• Ben Doherty estimated 85% and said “The US has more warheads than it needs, I don’t think that anyone else would bother going that far, even if they did want global domination. It’d be interesting to split this into both predictions.” on 2012-10-02
• RobertLumley estimated 85% on 2012-10-04
• chemotaxis101 estimated 75% on 2012-10-13
• Ken estimated 50% on 2012-11-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10