By the end of June 2013 I will have donated at least six thousand US dollars to either Effective Animal Activism (part of 80000 Hours) or some other organization that I believe is most cost effective.

Created by Pablo on 2012-10-11; known on 2013-07-01; judged right by Pablo on 2013-07-05.

• Pablo estimated 50% on 2012-10-11
• Pablo said “My intention is to donate at least a thousand dollars per month over a six-month period, starting in a couple of months, but this is not part of the prediction (it doesn’t matter how many payments are made, only the cumulative amount paid).” on 2012-10-11
• chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2012-10-13
• Michael Dickens estimated 50% on 2013-06-16
• Pablo   judged this prediction right on 2013-07-05.