By 2065, a majority of the world will be vegan.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-12; known on 2065-01-01
- JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2015-04-12
- RoryS estimated 20% and said “It’d be amazing, but it seems unlikely. I’d be more confident in factory farms going with the rise of lab grown meat, & opprobrium to any developing countries who used a similar system. ” on 2015-04-12
- jesselevine estimated 5% and said “half the world is in famine. Maybe in a dream” on 2015-04-13
- JoshuaZ said “Er, to clarify, I intend to include lab grown meat as vegan in this prediction if that wasn’t clear. ” on 2015-04-13
- Chri estimated 4% and said “Maybe vegetarian, but vegan? I am biased as a European, I think it is highly unlikely, that we stop eating cheese/using other milk products. I guess it’s partially a bet against the development of good substitutes.” on 2015-04-13
- Unknowns estimated 5% on 2015-04-13
- EloiseRosen estimated 12% on 2015-04-13
- NathanMcKnight estimated 1% and said “Wait, if the majority eat meat, but only lab-grown meat, that counts as vegan? I don’t like that definition, and I don’t think vegans will either. Regardless, cheese and wool and leather won’t go away soon…” on 2015-04-16
- RoryS said “I think lab-grown meat if done in a cruelty-free way should count as vegan, as do most other vegans I know. Still think it’s unlikely, but can see substantial improvement by 2065.” on 2015-04-16
- NathanMcKnight said “What about leather, cheese, etc? For some I’ve spoken to, the environmental impacts of the lab meat technology is the main issue. This is why, even given the broad definition of “vegan”, I rank the likelyhood low. ” on 2015-04-16
- JoshuaZ said “Nathan, what do you see is not consistent with veganism to eat lab grown meat? ” on 2015-04-16
- NathanMcKnight said “My understanding of veganism is that it is the avoidance of using all animal products. Lab meat starts with cultures of animal cells. Hence, it is not vegan. Not sure if that’s the majority opinion among vegans, but it’s significant.” on 2015-04-20
- NathanMcKnight said “And, at least for the foreseeable future, lab meat will probably involve the slaughter of animals. http://animalrights.about.com/od/animalsusedforfood/a/LaboratoryMeat.htm” on 2015-04-20
- timujin estimated 5% on 2015-04-23
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Even for 30% of the world to be vegetarian would be very impressive.” on 2015-05-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2015-06-07
- penten estimated 10% and said “(Including people who only eat lab-grown animal products)” on 2016-12-01
- themusicgod1 estimated 16% and said “I’m probably underestimating.” on 2016-12-01
- lnfinity estimated 40% on 2018-10-27