“No Award” sweeps the Hugos this year.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-08-30; judged right by kuudes on 2015-08-23.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 35% on 2015-04-16
- JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-04-17
- NathanMcKnight said “No award in 6 categories…I’d count that as a sweep. I guess I didn’t really define my terms though.” on 2015-08-23
- JoshuaZ said “I interpreted sweep to mean all categories. ” on 2015-08-23
- JoshuaZ said “No award was less than half of the winners, so it doesn’t seem like a sweep to me. ” on 2015-08-23
- kuudes said “How many occurances has there been of No award in previous Hugos? From that one could deduce how common/uncommon similar amounts of No Awards as the current are. I think sweep at least requires uncommonality.” on 2015-08-23
- JoshuaZ said “Certainly much fewer than this. I don’t think it has ever gone above 3 before. ” on 2015-08-23
- NathanMcKnight said “I think only 5 “No Awards” have been given in the last 60 years. ” on 2015-08-23
- NathanMcKnight said “Looks like “No Award” took five categories, equal to the total of “No Awards” given in all previous years.http://www.theguardian.com/books/2015/aug/23/no-award-hugo-awards-following-controversy” on 2015-08-23
- kuudes said “The media coverage seems to make point that the occurance of No award is very uncommon and my short look into the stats of previous years seems to point that normally No award comes near the last place.” on 2015-08-23
- kuudes said “Unless there is additional support for “sweeping” being commonly used in some specific way generally in nominations, ballots, or similar, I would tend to judge this prediction as “Right”.” on 2015-08-23
- kuudes said “So I propose that https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reasonable_person would judge this “Right” unless additional information. I judge this now right, and revert that if you disagree based on some reasoning.” on 2015-08-23
- kuudes judged this prediction right on 2015-08-23.
- NathanMcKnight said “For future reference, I’ll try to use “sweep” for overwhelming and “clean sweep” for 100%.” on 2015-08-23
- JoshuaZ said “I would have judged this wrong, but I’ll differ to Kuudes since you didn’t have an estimate on this and so are more impartial. ” on 2015-08-23