PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will still self-identify as an effective altruist at the end of this year

Created by RoryS on 2015-04-18; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by RoryS on 2016-01-01.

  • RoryS estimated 90% on 2015-04-18
  • RoryS   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-01.