By 2030, at least 70% of jobs existing in 2015 will be replaced with automation.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-20; known on 2030-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-04-20
• JoshuaZ said “$25 bet with Exodus111 here http://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/333kov/will_selfdriving_vehicles_cannibalise_the_car/cqi1j05” on 2015-04-20
• Exodus111 estimated 100% on 2015-04-20
• Chri estimated 8% and said “I understand the prediction as being about the US, if it is meant worldwide I’d say <1%.” on 2015-04-20
• Unknowns estimated 5% on 2015-04-20
• jesselevine estimated 2% and said “Automation has been around for quite awhile. You could be arguing Moore’s Law, but 70% is just such a damn high number that I can’t predict high.” on 2015-04-22
• jesselevine said “Could you clarify whether this leads to 70% unemployment, or are you implying the existing jobs get replaced? Because that may change my thoughts.” on 2015-04-22
• btrettel estimated 5% on 2015-04-24
• kuudes said “How does one measure this? What is the ratio of jobs of 2010 when measured similarly in 2015?” on 2015-05-03
• InquilineKea estimated 30% on 2015-07-11
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-07-09