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I get a fine of £100 or greater at the disciplinary meeting

Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-20; known on 2015-04-22; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-04-21.

  • qwerty314 estimated 75% on 2015-04-20
  • qwerty314 changed the deadline from “on 2015-04-21” and changed their prediction from “I get a fine of £100 or greater” on 2015-04-20
  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 60% and said “60% prior, e.g. not conditioning on some fine given” on 2015-04-20
  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 55% on 2015-04-20
  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 69% on 2015-04-20
  • qwerty314   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-04-21.