Assuming dems hold Senate in 2012, republicans retake Senate in 2014 mid term elections

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-06; known on 2014-12-31; judged right by kuudes on 2014-11-05.

• RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2012-11-06
• kuudes estimated 64% and said “http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senate-update-the-republican-advantage-is-consistent-but-not-decisive/” on 2014-10-27
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2014-11-05.