Between now and April 22nd, 2016 There will be large-scale riots in major US cities, gun confiscation in rural areas, and a financial crisis, possibly not all at once or in that precise order.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-22; known on 2016-04-21; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-21.
- JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-04-22
- JoshuaZ said “Context http://www.reddit.com/r/Op_Jade_Helm_15/comments/337090/jade_helm_to_coincide_with_economic_collapse_and/cqkbcd1” on 2015-04-22
- JoshuaZ said “Bet with FutzBucket. If it happens I owe him a case of local cider. If it doesn’t, he owes me a “mess” of fresh grapes or a similar product” on 2015-04-22
- JoshuaZ said “Futz has backed out of bet. See thread, because betting on the side of near world-ending doesn’t really work. (Understandably). ” on 2015-04-22
- jesselevine estimated 0% and said “I don’t think systematic gun confiscation will happen. I do think strict gun control will increase. I also believe your date is awfully short term. Finally I have a little more confidence about large scale confidence. I bet 1 in 10,000” on 2015-04-22
- Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-02-21
- Temeraire estimated 0% on 2016-02-23
- themusicgod1 estimated 36% on 2016-03-11
- leo_gri estimated 0% on 2016-03-19
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction wrong on 2016-04-21.