At least two commercial reactors supplying fusion power to the grid by 2030.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-22; known on 2030-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 21% on 2015-04-22
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/33cr40/china_can_cut_cord_on_coal_mostly_by_2050_china/cqjo3yk is context, $25 bet with Historyguy81 ” on 2015-04-22
• jesselevine estimated 33% and said “Ooh. This is a tough one for me.” on 2015-04-22
• OferBaratz estimated 50% and said “90% chance on happening by 2035” on 2015-04-22
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Not going to happen. ITER won’t even be up and running before 2050. ” on 2015-05-12
• Unknowns estimated 7% on 2015-05-15
• Chri estimated 2% on 2015-05-15
• Chri estimated 2% on 2015-05-15
• FarOutFuture1988 estimated 25% and said “Honestly I don’t know if it will come to pass by 2030. 2045 maybe but until we know for certain that we can get a net gain from fusion this is an unlikely to come to fruition.” on 2015-05-21
• splorridge estimated 5% on 2015-06-13
• artir estimated 78% on 2016-03-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-07-09
• Baeboo estimated 21% on 2019-02-09