Total World population will begin stagnating around the late 2040s after relatively weak growth throughout the next 20 years, with most of that growth coming out of Africa and South-East Asia

Created by OferBaratz on 2015-04-22; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by timujin on 2015-04-27.

• OferBaratz estimated 99% on 2015-04-22
• timujin estimated 15% and said “That’s a VERY specific prediction, are you sure you realise how overconfident 99% is? Even just one of those ending up wrong (say, stagnation not starting until 2050) would sabotage your preditcion.” on 2015-04-23
• kuudes said “The date of judgement is wrong here.” on 2015-04-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-04-23
• OferBaratz said “I got the date wrong, but I do believe that by 2040 the odds of total population stagnation are near certainity. see: http://esa.un.org/unpd/ppp/Figures-Output/Population/PPP_Total-Population.htm” on 2015-04-23
• JoshuaZ said “Ofer, you can go and edit the end edit date if you click the “edit” button. ” on 2015-04-23
• timujin said “Please edit the date, predictionbook keeps telling me I have a prediction due.” on 2015-04-23
• timujin said “Please, edit the date.” on 2015-04-26
• timujin   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-04-27.