By 2020, Puerto Rico will be admitted to the Union

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-11-09; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2012-11-09
• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2012-11-09
• RandomThinker said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4396 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4395” on 2012-11-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 41% on 2012-11-11
• Ken estimated 15% on 2012-11-12
• andrevan estimated 85% on 2012-11-24
• RobbBB estimated 66% on 2012-11-24
• Qiaochu estimated 50% on 2012-11-26
• ygert estimated 45% on 2012-12-18
• Yvain estimated 33% on 2013-02-13
• Tuxedage estimated 15% on 2013-02-13
• simplicio estimated 60% on 2013-02-13
• andrevan estimated 65% on 2013-04-27
• themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-04-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2016-04-15
• jesselevine estimated 3% and said “Though almost every argument I’ve seen is in favor of this prediction, I have this strange feeling that people kind of likes the even 50 number. All the songs, the flag, it’s a good number… are there any pending official proposals?” on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 35% on 2016-04-16
• pranomostro estimated 12% on 2018-09-19
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2018-12-12
• Bruno Parga said “PR voted for statehood in a referendum. The GOP will never allow it. (For a non-technical definition of “never”.)” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.