American president obama will screw up politically

Created by melmel on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-11; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • melmel estimated 90% on 2010-02-10
  • Olyscott estimated 0% and said “He will get a second termon 2010-02-10
  • I_am_not_real. said “It all depends on your definition of “screw up”.on 2010-02-11
  • gwern said “Stupidly vague. As punishment I’m marking it wrong.on 2010-07-29
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2010-07-29.

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