Voter turnout for the US Presidential election to be less than 49% of registered voters.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-28; known on 2016-11-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2015-05-28
• JoshuaZ said “Context: $20 bet with g5000 http://www.usmessageboard.com/threads/why-the-2014-mid-terms-were-so-unimportant-nate-silver.421417/page-5#post-11485956” on 2015-05-28
• btrettel estimated 15% and said “Was 49.0% in 1996. Hasn’t been that low otherwise since 1924. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_turnout_in_the_United_States_presidential_elections” on 2015-05-30
• David estimated 10% on 2015-06-05
• jasticE estimated 30% on 2015-06-18
• themusicgod1 estimated 45% on 2016-07-10
• Bruno Parga said “Turnout was over 80% of registered voters. Even if one misinterprets the prediction to mean “<49% of the eligible voting age population”, it is still wrong.” on 2016-11-09
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.