New Mersenne prime discovered by January 1, 2035.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-12; known on 2035-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-01-20.

• JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2015-08-12
• JoshuaZ said “See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mersenne_prime last discovered in 2013. One discovered in 2009, and two in 2008. Without new techniques we should expect them to be found less frequently given standard heuristics for their distribution. ” on 2015-08-12
• JoshuaZ said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/129642 for 2030. ” on 2015-08-12
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-20.