I predict Stanley McChrystal will keep his job until at least July 22.

Created by vhistory 2 months ago; known about 1 month ago; judged right by gwern about 1 month ago.

• vhistory estimated 75% 2 months ago
• gwern estimated 60% and said “Retirement ceremony was 23 July: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanley_McChrystal#Retirement But was removed from position earlier. Tentatively marking right.” about 1 month ago
• gwern judged this prediction right about 1 month ago.

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