“On or before 8 June 2030, there will exist a computer language or programming system in which the prototypical first program, traditionally called “Hello, world!”, will have an executable file whose size exceeds 1 gigabyte.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2030-06-08

  • gwern estimated 1% on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “It would have to be a pathologically incompetent language to have a 1GB HW, and this prediction is clearly about a mainstream language.on 2010-08-02
  • Malgidus estimated 5% and said “Some complex genetic coding, maybe?on 2013-03-27
  • themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07

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