“the largest area of impact from technological change over the next decade will come from increasing communications bandwidth.” —Michael Vassar

Created by gwern on 2010-08-17; known on 2020-01-01

• gwern estimated 70% on 2010-08-17
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/1dpn?c=1 100x supercomputers, e-paper, battery longevity aren’t as important” on 2010-08-17
• Malgidus estimated 95% and said “Nothing in human history will compare to having 5 billion minds connected. Arguably, decreases in poverty and preventable disease is more important, but may not be as “impactful”.” on 2013-03-27
• themusicgod1 said “how to measure this?” 12 days ago

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