“sites like intrade gain prestige in the next decade”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-25; known on 2020-01-01

• gwern estimated 85% on 2010-08-25
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/1e7g?c=1” on 2010-08-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% 11 days ago

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