SpaceX will launch a Mars orbit or flyby mission before 2019.

Created by sflicht on 2016-04-28; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• sflicht estimated 25% on 2016-04-28
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-04-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2016-04-28
• sflicht said “If there’s one thing Elon Musk can’t do it is meet deadlines.” on 2016-04-29
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 43% on 2016-04-29
• trishume estimated 57% on 2016-05-09
• PipFoweraker estimated 25% on 2016-05-16
• penten estimated 40% on 2016-10-06
• sflicht estimated 55% on 2016-10-06
• Athrithalix estimated 7% on 2018-02-23
• sflicht estimated 1% on 2018-06-08
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.