Borders will merge, be bought, or file for bankruptcy by 2013.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2013-01-11; judged right by gwern on 2011-02-17.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “already in trouble, having difficulty making payments. 2 years is enough for it to bleed out” on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/04/business/media/04borders.html” on 2011-01-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 99% on 2011-01-21
• PseudonymousUser said “http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704329104576138353865644420.html” on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “They’re dead: https://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/17/business/media/17borders.html?pagewanted=all” on 2011-02-17
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-02-17.