Amanda Knox will be found guilty by the Italian Supreme Court.

Created by adbge on 2014-01-31; known on 2018-01-31; judged wrong by CarlShulman on 2015-05-04.

• adbge estimated 55% on 2014-01-31
• adbge changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-31” and changed their prediction from “Amanda Knox will be found guilty before the Italian Supreme Court.” on 2014-01-31
• gwern estimated 60% on 2014-01-31
• CarlShulman   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-05-04.