HP MoR: Mr. Hat & Cloak is Baba Yaga

Created by solipsist on 2014-02-27; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by solipsist on 2015-03-14.

• solipsist estimated 30% on 2014-02-27
• solipsist changed the deadline from “on 2015-12-31” and changed their prediction from “HPMOR: Mr. Hat & Cloak is Baba Yaga” on 2014-03-08
• solipsist said “Inside view: Baba Yaga screamed “Remember my name! It will have been I all along!” and won’t stop winking at me. Outside view: no one else thinks this so I am probably wrong. Where do you come from, strange little prediction?” on 2014-03-11
• solipsist estimated 80% and said “The world is crazy. I’m going with my gut.” on 2014-07-28
• solipsist estimated 35% and said “Did a third read, much less confident. Voice is sibilant, hands and feet never seen, could be a basilisk. Also Quirrell makes sense.” on 2015-01-29
• sweeneyrod estimated 20% and said “It’s plausible, but there are many options without much evidence to distinguish them. What do you think P(Baba Yaga is Nicolas Flamel) is?” on 2015-01-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-01-29
• solipsist   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-14.