GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1008: By 31 December 2011, will the World Trade Organization General Council or Ministerial Conference approve the “accession package” for WTO membership for Russia?
- gwern estimated 30% on 2011-09-07
- gwern made the prediction public on 2011-12-14
- gwern said “huh, apparently I said yes on GJP, which means another flipped prediction costs me $500…” on 2011-12-19
- gwern said “or whups, other way; never mind, I deserved this hit” on 2011-12-19
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2011-12-19.
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