GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1012: Will Italy's Silvio Berlusconi resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, OR otherwise vacate office before 1 October 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-03.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-03.
  • gwern made the prediction public on 2011-10-03

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