GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1012: Will Italy's Silvio Berlusconi resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, OR otherwise vacate office before 1 October 2011?
- gwern estimated 5% on 2011-09-07
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-03.
- gwern made the prediction public on 2011-10-03
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