Two Open Threads will be posted in the Discussion Section of Less Wrong in the month of January 2012 and the second thread will have at least double the number of posts contained in the first thread before February 2012.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-01-02; known on 2012-02-01

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% on 2012-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo withdrew the prediction on 2012-01-02