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The SMALL REU will reject me.

Created by azax1 on 2015-02-13; known on 2015-02-14; judged right by azax1 on 2015-03-11.

  • azax1 estimated 75% on 2015-02-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-02-13
  • azax1 said “What in the world makes you think some random PredictionBooker’s chances are better than half?on 2015-02-19
  • JoshuaZ said “So was I right? This is marked as should having been known 5 days ago? on 2015-02-19
  • azax1 said “I marked the very early know-by date because I didn’t know when I’d hear back from them and didn’t want to forget to update this.At the moment I haven’t heard back, which is very bad news but not literally a rejection.on 2015-03-09
  • azax1   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-11.