The world will not end in 2012
Created by kimmjaynedowling on 2010-02-09; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by bobpage on 2013-01-01.
- kimmjaynedowling estimated 95% on 2010-02-09
- gwern estimated 100% on 2010-07-29
- kimmjaynedowling changed the deadline from “on 2010-01-01” on 2010-08-08
- kallman estimated 100% and said “Good track record of not ending every year for several million tries thusfar.” on 2010-11-23
- bobpage estimated 99% on 2011-01-21
- kilobug estimated 100% on 2011-11-18
- Grognor estimated 100% on 2011-12-06
- bobpage judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.
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