The world will not end in 2012
Created by kimmjaynedowling on 2010-02-09; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2013-01-01.
- kimmjaynedowling estimated 95% on 2010-02-09
- kimmjaynedowling on 2010-02-09
- gwern estimated 100% on 2010-07-29
- kallman estimated 100% and said “Good track record of not ending every year for several million tries thusfar.” on 2010-11-23
- PseudonymousUser estimated 99% on 2011-01-21
- kilobug estimated 100% on 2011-11-18
- Grognor estimated 100% on 2011-12-06
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.